Uncertainty in toxicological risk assessment for non-carcinogenic health effects

Kalberlah, F; Schneider, K; Schuhmacher-Wolz, U

HERO ID

1060428

Reference Type

Journal Article

Subtype

Review

Year

2003

Language

English

PMID

12662913

HERO ID 1060428
Material Type Review
In Press No
Year 2003
Title Uncertainty in toxicological risk assessment for non-carcinogenic health effects
Authors Kalberlah, F; Schneider, K; Schuhmacher-Wolz, U
Journal Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology
Volume 37
Issue 1
Page Numbers 92-104
Abstract Uncertainty in risk assessment results from the lack of knowledge on toxicity to the target population for a substance. Currently used deterministic risk assessment methods yield human limit values or margins of safety (MOS) without quantitative measurements of uncertainty. Qualitative and quantitative uncertainty analysis would enable risk managers to better judge the consequences of different management options. This article discusses sources of uncertainty and possibilities for quantification of uncertainty associated with different steps in the risk assessment of non-carcinogenic health effects. Knowledge gaps causing uncertainty in risk assessment are overcome by extrapolation. Distribution functions for extrapolation factors are based on empirical data and provide information about the extent of uncertainty introduced by these factors. Whereas deterministic methods can account only qualitatively for uncertainty of the resulting human limit value, probabilistic risk assessment methods are able to quantify several aspects of uncertainty. However, there is only limited experience with these methods in practice. Their acceptance and future application will depend on the establishment of evidence based distribution functions, flexibility and practicability of the methods, and the unambiguity of the results.
Doi 10.1016/S0273-2300(02)00032-6
Pmid 12662913
Wosid WOS:000182120900010
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
Keyword toxicological risk assessment; uncertainty; deterministic methods; probabilistic methods; quantitative analysis; risk management
Is Qa No