Probabilistic risk analysis: Foundations and methods

Bedford, T; Cooke, R

HERO ID

1061254

Reference Type

Book/Book Chapter

Year

2001

Language

English

HERO ID 1061254
Year 2001
Title Probabilistic risk analysis: Foundations and methods
Authors Bedford, T; Cooke, R
Publisher Text Cambridge University Press
City Cambridge, UK
Abstract Probabilistic risk analysis aims to quantify the risk caused by high technology installations. Increasingly, such analyses are being applied to a wider class of systems in which problems such as lack of data, complexity of the systems, uncertainty about consequences, make a classical statistical analysis difficult or impossible. The authors discuss the fundamental notion of uncertainty, its relationship with probability, and the limits to the quantification of uncertainty. Drawing on extensive experience in the theory and applications of risk analysis, the authors focus on the conceptual and mathematical foundations underlying the quantification, interpretation and management of risk. They cover standard topics as well as important new subjects such as the use of expert judgement and uncertainty propagation. The relationship of risk analysis with decision making is highlighted in chapters on influence diagrams and decision theory. Finally, the difficulties of choosing metrics to quantify risk, and current regulatory frameworks are discussed.
Doi 10.1017/CBO9780511813597
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Isbn 9780511813597
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
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