GIS approaches for the estimation of residential-level ambient PM concentrations

Liao, D; Peuquet, DJ; Duan, Y; Whitsel, EA; Dou, J; Smith, RL; Lin, HM; Chen, JC; Heiss, G

HERO ID

127133

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year

2006

Language

English

PMID

16966091

HERO ID 127133
In Press No
Year 2006
Title GIS approaches for the estimation of residential-level ambient PM concentrations
Authors Liao, D; Peuquet, DJ; Duan, Y; Whitsel, EA; Dou, J; Smith, RL; Lin, HM; Chen, JC; Heiss, G
Journal Environmental Health Perspectives
Volume 114
Issue 9
Page Numbers 1374-1380
Abstract Spatial estimations are increasingly used to estimate geocoded ambient particulate matter (PM) concentrations in epidemiologic studies because measures of daily PM concentrations are unavailable in most U.S. locations. This study was conducted to a) assess the feasibility of large-scale kriging estimations of daily residential-level ambient PM concentrations, b) perform and compare cross-validations of different kriging models, c) contrast three popular kriging approaches, and d) calculate SE of the kriging estimations. We used PM data for PM with aerodynamic diameter </= 10 microm (PM10) and aerodynamic diameter </= 2.5 microm (PM2.5) from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for the year 2000. Kriging estimations were performed at 94,135 geocoded addresses of Women's Health Initiative study participants using the ArcView geographic information system. We developed a semiautomated program to enable large-scale daily kriging estimation and assessed validity of semivariogram models using prediction error (PE) , standardized prediction error (SPE) , root mean square standardized (RMSS) , and SE of the estimated PM. National- and regional-scale kriging performed satisfactorily, with the former slightly better. The average PE, SPE, and RMSS of daily PM10 semivariograms using regular ordinary kriging with a spherical model were 0.0629, -0.0011, and 1.255 microg/m3, respectively ; the average SE of the estimated residential-level PM10 was 27.36 microg/m3. The values for PM2.5 were 0.049, 0.0085, 1.389, and 4.13 microg/m3, respectively. Lognormal ordinary kriging yielded a smaller average SE and effectively eliminated out-of-range predicted values compared to regular ordinary kriging. Semiautomated daily kriging estimations and semivariogram cross-validations are feasible on a national scale. Lognormal ordinary kriging with a spherical model is valid for estimating daily ambient PM at geocoded residential addresses.
Doi 10.1289/ehp.9169
Pmid 16966091
Wosid WOS:000240755700034
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
Keyword cross-validation; geographic information systems; kriging; particulate air pollution; population-based studies
Is Qa No