Characterizing uncertainty and population variability in the toxicokinetics of trichloroethylene and metabolites in mice, rats, and humans using an updated database, physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model, and Bayesian approach

Chiu, WA; Okino, MS; Evans, MV

HERO ID

224537

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year

2009

Language

English

PMID

19660485

HERO ID 224537
In Press No
Year 2009
Title Characterizing uncertainty and population variability in the toxicokinetics of trichloroethylene and metabolites in mice, rats, and humans using an updated database, physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model, and Bayesian approach
Authors Chiu, WA; Okino, MS; Evans, MV
Journal Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology
Volume 241
Issue 1
Page Numbers 36-60
Abstract We have developed a comprehensive, Bayesian, PBPK model-based analysis of the population toxicokinetics of trichloroethylene (TCE) and its metabolites in mice, rats, and humans, considering a wider range of physiological, chemical, in vitro, and in vivo data than any previously published analysis of TCE. The toxicokinetics of the "population average," its population variability, and their uncertainties are characterized in an approach that strives to be maximally transparent and objective. Estimates of experimental variability and uncertainty were also included in this analysis. The experimental database was expanded to include virtually all available in vivo toxicokinetic data, which permitted, in rats and humans, the specification of separate datasets for model calibration and evaluation. The total combination of these approaches and PBPK analysis provides substantial support for the model predictions. In addition, we feel confident that the approach employed also yields an accurate characterization of the uncertainty in metabolic pathways for which available data were sparse or relatively indirect, such as GSH conjugation and respiratory tract metabolism. Key conclusions from the model predictions include the following: (1) as expected, TCE is substantially metabolized, primarily by oxidation at doses below saturation; (2) GSH conjugation and subsequent bioactivation in humans appear to be 10- to 100-fold greater than previously estimated; and (3) mice had the greatest rate of respiratory tract oxidative metabolism as compared to rats and humans. In a situation such as TCE in which there is large database of studies coupled with complex toxicokinetics, the Bayesian approach provides a systematic method of simultaneously estimating model parameters and characterizing their uncertainty and variability. However, care needs to be taken in its implementation to ensure biological consistency, transparency, and objectivity.
Doi 10.1016/j.taap.2009.07.032
Pmid 19660485
Wosid WOS:000271409400004
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
Keyword Bayesian; Glutathione conjugation; Metabolism; Oxidation; Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model; Population toxicokinetics; Risk assessment; Trichloroethylene; Uncertainty; Variability
Is Qa No