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HERO ID
8754187
Reference Type
Journal Article
Title
Modeling Malaysia's energy system: Some preliminary results
Author(s)
Yusof, AM
Year
2011
Is Peer Reviewed?
Yes
Journal
American Journal of Applied Sciences
ISSN:
1546-9239
EISSN:
1554-3641
Volume
8
Issue
9
Page Numbers
918-922
Language
English
DOI
10.3844/ajassp.2011.918.922
Abstract
Problem statement: The current dynamic and fragile world energy environment necessitates the development of new energy model that solely caters to analyze Malaysia's energy scenarios. Approach: The model is a network flow model that traces the flow of energy carriers from its sources (import and mining) through some conversion and transformation processes for the production of energy products to final destinations (energy demand sectors). The integration to the economic sectors is done exogeneously by specifying the annual sectoral energy demand levels. The model in turn optimizes the energy variables for a specified objective function to meet those demands. Results: By minimizing the inter temporal petroleum product imports for the crude oil system the annual extraction level of Tapis blend is projected at 579600 barrels per day. The aggregate demand for petroleum products is projected to grow at 2.1% year -1 while motor gasoline and diesel constitute 42 and 38% of the petroleum products demands mix respectively over the 5 year planning period. Petroleum products import is expected to grow at 6.0% year -1. Conclusion: The preliminary results indicate that the model performs as expected. Thus other types of energy carriers such as natural gas, coal and biomass will be added to the energy system for the overall development of Malaysia energy model. © 2011 Science Publications.
Keywords
Endogenously; Energy modeling; Gasoline; Kerosene; Linear Programming (LP); Methodology; Model for Analysis of Energy Demand (MAED); Petroleum products; Scenario; Wien Automatic System Planning Package (WASP)
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