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HERO ID
3028228
Reference Type
Journal Article
Title
Short-lived climate pollution
Author(s)
Pierrehumbert, RT
Year
2014
Is Peer Reviewed?
Yes
Journal
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
ISSN:
0084-6597
EISSN:
1545-4495
Volume
42
Issue
1
Page Numbers
341-379
Language
English
DOI
10.1146/annurev-earth-060313-054843
Web of Science Id
WOS:000348436700017
Relationship(s)
is supplemented by
4624833
: Supplementary materials
Abstract
Although carbon dioxide emissions are by far the most important mediator of anthropogenic climate disruption, a number of shorter-lived substances with atmospheric lifetimes of under a few decades also contribute significantly to the radiative forcing that drives climate change. In recent years, the argument that early and aggressive mitigation of the emission of these substances or their precursors forms an essential part of any climate protection strategy has gained a considerable following. There is often an implication that such control can in some way make up for the current inaction on carbon dioxide emissions. The prime targets for mitigation, known collectively as short-lived climate pollution (SLCP), are methane, hydrofluorocarbons, black carbon, and ozone. A re-examination of the issues shows that the benefits of early SLCP mitigation have been greatly exaggerated, largely because of inadequacies in the methodologies used to compare the climate effects of short-lived substances with those of CO2, which causes nearly irreversible climate change persisting millennia after emissions cease. Eventual mitigation of SLCP can make a useful contribution to climate protection, but there is little to be gained by implementing SLCP mitigation before stringent carbon dioxide controls are in place and have caused annual emissions to approach zero. Any earlier implementation of SLCP mitigation that substitutes to any significant extent for carbon dioxide mitigation will lead to a climate irreversibly warmer than will a strategy with delayed SLCP mitigation. SLCP mitigation does not buy time for implementation of stringent controls on CO2 emissions.
Keywords
global warming; climate policy; short-lived climate pollution; greenhouse gas mitigation; global warming potential; carbon dioxide; methane; HFC; black carbon
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